Morning traders, tod...來自Smart Jet

08 May 2023, 14:52 · 閱讀量 5,374

Morning traders, today I'm looking at EURUSD to possibly jump into shorts from the top of the technical range near 1.10800, setting an alert there and will look at lower timeframe price action to confirm, we want to be careful with USD longs ahead of the CPI but not too careful that we miss the entry, 1.10800 is a decent resistance that we don't want to hesitate too much to short so let's see what we see when price gets there Will be back with the latest from Goldmans in a minute to see what they are up to this week

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Smart Jet

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‼️GBPUSD update, moving stop loss further in profit at 1.24850‼️

Smart Jet

Morning traders, EURUSD is at an interesting resistance zone, if I see the right bearish setup we are going to go for shorts, but again, waiting for the right technical trigger to confirm the entry first Not a lot else that I'm watching across the board at the moment, currently I'm still mainly interested in USD longs, with the economic data today the consumer confidence is one we have to watch but most of the attention is for the PCE on Friday, you know it, that's Powell's favorite inflation metric so any deviation on that will shape the sentiment for the upcoming FOMC

Smart Jet

Latest from Goldmans, they are going short EURGBP, mostly as a GBP bullish trade but with a hint of EUR bearishness as well I like the trade, inflation has been stubbornly high in the UK so there is also room for a hawkish BoE rate decision this week, I will be doing some further reading about the whole context since I haven't been diving deep much into the UK data lately except the inflation numbers but we will likely get into the trade today

Smart Jet

Morning traders, after two full days of lunches, dinners, and brainstorming with some quite substantially experienced fund managers I get the sentiment out there for the next 3 to 6 months is bearish indices, bullish the Dollar, and bullish the JPY, that didn't surprise me much as it's the classic recession trade, in other words, that has been the dominant topic of our debates, an upcoming recession That is the medium to long term sentiment that mostly came through in the discussions and I kinda resonate with that too, high rates sooner or later will feed through the economy and things will break leading to outflows from risk assets and inflows into safe haven Not much else to add to that, for now it's something too long term for us to act on it right away but I do keep in mind that the easier trades heading into the summer will probably be USD longs and JPY longs

Smart Jet

Morning traders, with the CPI everywhere I look I see notes about the likelihood of a strong print, Goldmans is also expecting a number a tiny bit above expectations so we are geared in that direction but obviously when the consensus is geared one way the risk is that the number doesn't meet the already high expectations triggering an unwind of positions So, even if the likelihood is USD strength we don't want to get into the event too long the Dollar, meaning that we will likely adjust the recently added AUDUSD short before the CPI later, then once we see the numbers and the price action around it we can start looking at some medium term direction across the board

Smart Jet