China’s decision to ...來自Beyond_charts

26 Dec 2025, 18:47 · 閱讀量 8,222

China’s decision to restrict all physical silver exports from January 2026 is a major structural shift for the global silver market. With China being the largest importer of silver ore and holding significant reserves, this policy tightens future supply and explains the strong upside reaction now unfolding across silver prices. #ChinaEconomy# #FlashNews# #Silver# #silversurge# #XAG/USD#

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Tariff escalation rhetoric has revived trade-war uncertainty, while geopolitical tensions with Iran add a second layer of risk premium to global markets. In this environment, capital typically rotates away from high-beta assets. The key observation: Bitcoin is behaving more like a risk asset than a hedge. Gold continues to absorb defensive flows, while crypto lags. This doesn’t invalidate the long-term thesis — but it clarifies the short-term narrative: When liquidity tightens and uncertainty rises, volatility increases — and speculative assets feel it first.

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Gold paused near 4500 - but the story isn’t over. Even after a brief rejection, XAUUSD continues to trade within a strong bullish structure, supported by ongoing global uncertainty. Buyers are still in control above 4450, and a renewed push higher remains possible if momentum sustains. Patience and structure matter more than chasing price here. #gold# #Signal# #technicalanalysis# #Todayanalysis# #XAU/USD# #GOLDTODAY#

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#OPINIONLEADER# #OPINIONLEADER# 𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗮’𝘀 𝗴𝗼𝗹𝗱 𝗮𝗰𝗰𝘂𝗺𝘂𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗿𝘂𝗻𝘀 𝗱𝗲𝗲𝗽𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝗻 𝗼𝗳𝗳𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗱𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗹𝗼𝘀𝘂𝗿𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝘂𝗴𝗴𝗲𝘀𝘁. With reported PBoC purchases at +27 tonnes in 2025 — and estimates implying only ~10% is disclosed — real accumulation may be far higher. Strategic stockpiling, not speculation. #ChinaEconomy# #gold# #XAU/USD# #OPINIONLEADER#

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Gold is pausing — and that’s not a weakness. After surging more than 2.5% during the Asian session, Gold printed fresh highs near 5081.25. However, into these highs, the chart is signalling fatigue rather than acceleration. Bullish candles are shrinking, volume is tapering, and price has stretched into overbought territory. From a technical perspective, price is testing the upper Bollinger Band while RSI remains above 70 and begins to curl lower. A hidden bearish divergence on the 1H timeframe further supports the case for a healthy correction. A pullback towards the 5000–4950 zone looks technically justified — this region aligns with prior resistance turned support and a 1H inefficiency (iFVG). If buyers defend this zone, the broader bullish structure remains intact, with upside potential reopening towards the 5100–5170 region. This appears to be cooling momentum, not trend failure. Patience and confirmation around support will define the next high-probability move. #XAU/USD# #gold# #GOLDTODAY# #analysis#

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• Strength in Dalian and Chicago edible oils • Crude oil rally amid Middle East tensions Demand remains constructive: • India imports +10.1% MoM (6-month high) Policy backdrop supportive: • Indonesia exports +77.1% YoY (Jan) • Export levy increased to 12.5% to support biodiesel mandate Risks to monitor: • February shipment decline (~22%) • China PMI uncertainty Momentum positive — but dependent on Asian demand resilience. 🔹 FollowMe (Macro & Commodity Strategy) Palm oil’s current rally is a convergence trade. Three forces aligning: 1️⃣ Currency weakness (ringgit) 2️⃣ Energy strength (crude oil risk premium) 3️⃣ Restocking demand from India Add to that Indonesia’s aggressive export growth and biodiesel policy reinforcement — and you have structural supply rebalancing. Yet caution is warranted: • February export shipments declined materially • China’s PMI may signal post-holiday softness • Geopolitical premium in crude can unwind quickly The bigger picture: If crude remains elevated and China stabilises, palm oil could extend toward higher resistance levels. If China weakens, upside may stall. Commodity traders should watch Asian macro prints closely this week.

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