USD/THB: SHORT-TERM TOP IN PLACE – UOB

According to Market Strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group, a sustained drop below 34.30 in USD/THB seems unlikely for the time being.

Key Quotes

“We highlighted last Monday (27 Feb, spot at 35.13) that ‘further USD/THB strength appears likely’. We added, ‘in view of the overbought conditions, USD/THB may find the major resistance at 35.57 difficult to break’. While USD/THB subsequently rose to 35.39 on Tuesday, the surprisingly sharp pullback from the high took out a few strong support levels.”

“The pullback amid the still overbought conditions suggests that 35.39 could be a short-term top. The pullback has scope to extend but any decline is viewed as a lower trading range of 34.30/34.90. In other words, a sustained decline below 34.30 is unlikely.”