- Nonfarm Payrolls in the US rose by 236,000 in March, slightly below the market expectation of 240,000. February’s print of 311,000 got revised higher to 326,000 from 311,000.
- Wage inflation in the US, as measured by Average Hourly Earnings, declined to 4.2% on a yearly basis from 4.6% in February. The Unemployment Rate ticked down to 3.5% with the Labor Force Participation Rate improving to 62.6% from 62.5%.
- The CME Group FedWatch Tool shows that markets are pricing in a 67% probability of a 25 bps Fed rate increase in May, compared to 73% on Monday.
- Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow model’s estimate for the first-quarter real Gross Domestic Product Growth (GDP) in the US rose to 2.2% from 1.5% on April 10.
- NY Fed President John Williams argued on Monday that the pace of Fed rate increases was not behind the issues surrounding the two collapsed banks back in March.
- NY Fed’s latest consumer survey revealed that the one-year inflation expectation climbed to 4.7% in March from 4.2% in February.
- Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee will be delivering speeches on Monday.
- Inflation in the US, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is forecast to decline to 5.2% in March from 6% in February. The Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise by 0.4% on a monthly basis, compared to the 0.5% increase recorded in February.
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