West Texas Intermediate, WTI, is up by some 0.6% and has traveled within a range of between $75.24 and $74.08 so far. Following two days of losses that cut prices to the lowest since late March, the black gold is back on the mend in a mini short squeeze.
WTi has closed the gap that was put on the charts after OPEC 's surprise 1.1-million barrel per day production cut. However, demand fears played in on Thursday after the United States reported its first-quarter Gross Domestic Product rose less than expected.
Real Gross Domestic Product advanced at a slower 1.1% QoQ AR clip in the first quarter with activity posting its first below-trend expansion since the second quarter of 2022, analysts at TD Securities noted. ´´First-quarter growth fell below consensus expectations at 1.9%, but it was largely in line with our 1.2% forecast. Under a context of rising uncertainty, we continue to look for activity to advance at a below-trend pace through the end of the year, with a recession likely starting in Q4 2023.´´
´´Still,´´ the analysts explained, ´´strong consumer-price data continue to underscore the stickiness of underlying inflation.´´
Nevertheless, the weak economic data continues to raise demand concerns and a recession in the United States could spark demand worries in other OECD nations. Meanwhile, the OPEC cuts will take effect on May 1. Today OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais said the group was not looking to manage prices but is focusing on market fundamentals, according to reports.
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