BARRING A DATA SURPRISE, THE ONLY THREAT TO STRONG DOLLAR STORY COMES FROM QUARTER-END REBALANCING FLOWS – ING

avatar
· 閱讀量 64



Dollar strength emerged across the board yesterday. It is hard to argue with the strong Dollar, economists at ING report.

Strong data goes head-to-head with rebalancing flows

May's core PCE deflator is expected at a firm 0.3-0.4% MoM, consistent with the Fed's view that core inflation is not falling quickly enough. That should keep US rates and the Dollar firm. 

The challenge today will be month and quarter-end portfolio rebalancing flows. The outperformance of US equity benchmarks over the last month and quarter could generate some Dollar selling. We prefer to see rebalancing as more of a risk to a preferred view that the Dollar stays strong given what seems a clear macro story.

DXY could edge up to the 103.65 area unless fixing flows take their toll.

See – US Core PCE Bank Expectations: Fed preferred inflation measure to make little progress


風險提示:本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點,不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證,對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為,不承擔任何責任,除非另有書面明確說明。

喜歡的話,讚賞支持一下
回覆 0

暫無評論,立馬搶沙發

  • tradingContest