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The Australian Dollar has been trading on a softer footing going into tomorrow’s RBA policy meeting after correcting lower throughout the second half of last month. Economists at MUFG Bank analyze how the monetary policy decision could impact the Aussie.
The Australian rate market is currently pricing in only 4 bps of hikes for tomorrow’s RBA policy meeting. We agree with current market pricing and expect the RBA to leave rates on hold tomorrow.
If the RBA leaves rates on hold as we expect, then market attention will quickly shift to future rate guidance from the RBA. The Australian market is pricing in around 40 bps of hikes by the end of this year with the next hike expected in either August or September.
Current pricing highlights that a hawkish hold is expected, and anything less would weigh on the Australian Dollar
風險提示：本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點，不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證，對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為，不承擔任何責任，除非另有書面明確說明。
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