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President Erdoğan’s personal preference for low interest rates has caused severe damage to the Turkish economy. Economists at Danske Bank discuss TRY's outlook.
President Erdoğan’s new economic team has started monetary policy normalisation. However, reversing the course without causing more pain is all but easy, as imbalances in the economy have been building up for a while.
We expect the CBRT to gradually hike the policy rate to 25%, but at a pace insufficient to bring the real rate into the positive territory, particularly as recent TRY depreciation is expected to fuel inflation going forward.
Credit demand is expected to remain elevated, maintaining pressure on current account and Lira.
風險提示：本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點，不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證，對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為，不承擔任何責任，除非另有書面明確說明。
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