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IDR was leaning on the weaker side against the USD in June. Economists at MUFG Bank analyze USD/IDR outlook.
Fundamentals are stable. GDP growth reached 5.03% YoY in Q1, similar to the 5.01% result in Q4-2022. Inflation retreated further. We anticipate that inflation will head lower towards a 2-3% range in the coming months.
We also believe that Indonesia’s trade surplus will be a supportive factor for the IDR.
We expect USD/IDR to fall back to 14,400 in Q2-2024 as yield differentials widen once again in favour of IDR.
風險提示：本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點，不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證，對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為，不承擔任何責任，除非另有書面明確說明。
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