The Canadian Dollar was the fifth best performing major currency against the USD in the first half of 2023. Economists at the National Bank of Canada analyze USD/CAD outlook.
H2 unlikely to be as good as H1
One of the main drivers of CAD appreciation in the first half of the year was the significant tightening of Canada-US interest rate differentials. With inflation trending down faster on this side of the border, it is very unlikely that the BoC will want to outpace the Fed on potential summer hikes.
After its recent strength, our model suggests that the USD/CAD is now slightly overvalued.
Looking ahead, we expect USD/CAD to return to the upper end of the 1.33-1.38 range in the second half of 2023 as the global economy shows tangible signs of weakness.
風險提示：本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點，不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證，對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為，不承擔任何責任，除非另有書面明確說明。
暫無評論，立馬搶沙發