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Economists at Scotiabank analyze USD outlook.
The June NFP data was likely strong enough to cement a rate hike from the Fed later this month. But the trend in the US labour market is clearly slowing and investors are, at the margin, slightly less persuaded by the idea of rate hikes beyond this month’s decision. December swaps eased 7-8 bps Friday.
The weak close for the USD Friday rounded off a rough couple of days and cemented a bearish (outside range) close on the DXY on the week which tilts risks toward a generally softer USD (or limited upside potential at least) in the near to medium term.
風險提示：本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點，不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證，對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為，不承擔任何責任，除非另有書面明確說明。
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