- AUD/USD trades on a stronger note near 0.6670 in Monday’s early Asian session.
- US University of Michigan sentiment rose for the first time since March.
- The RBA’s hawkish stance boosts the Aussie against the USD.
The AUD/USD pair kicks off the new week on a positive note around 0.6670. A risk-on tone across markets and rising expectations of an imminent rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) drag the US Dollar (USD) lower and provide some support to the pair. The minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Board’s August meeting and the Fed’s Chair Jerome Powell's speech will be in the spotlight this week.
Consumer Sentiment in the United States rose for the first time in five months. The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index improved to 67.8 in August versus 66.4 prior, better than the market expectation of 66.9. Meanwhile, US housing data declined sharply in July. Housing Starts fell 6.8% in July to 1.238 million units from the 1.1% increase in June, while the Building Permits decreased 4.0% in July after rising 3.9% in June.
Markets are overconfident that the Fed will rush to cut the interest rate, but it depends on incoming data. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders have priced in nearly 76% odds of a 25 basis points (bps) Fed rate cut in its September meeting. A week ago, markets had priced in over 50% possibility that the Fed would implement a deeper cut and reduce by 50 bps. The Fed Chair Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday could offer some hints about guidance on the pace of Fed easing. The dovish comments from the officials could exert some selling pressure on the Greenback.
風險提示:本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點,不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證,對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為,不承擔任何責任,除非另有書面明確說明。

暫無評論,立馬搶沙發