Daily digest market movers: Greenback goes belly up, but Peso flows need a breather

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  • Peso bidding has reversed course on Monday, paring back the MXN against the US Dollar.
  • Despite a brief easing in buying pressure, the MXN is still up 6.6% against the USD as the Peso recovers from a 22-month low.
  • Markets are broadly looking ahead to this week’s kick-off of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, where rate-cut-hungry investors will be hanging on every word from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers.
  • Recent bets of a double cut in September have eased significantly after reaching a peak of 70% two weeks ago. According to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, rate markets are pricing in a scant one-in-five chance of a 50 bps cut on September 18.
  • Overall, markets still have a 25 bps cut in September fully priced in, with three or four quarter-point cuts expected by the end of the year.

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