Morning traders, USD...來自Smart Jet

Morning traders, USD strength straight out from the weekly open, makes sense to us as we expect it to continue for the week, we still expect the USD strength to be better paired against the vulnerable EUR and CNH, but it would make sense to see Dollar strength across the board against everything USD longs right now remain our "core" positions and we also look for intraweek opportunities to go further long Dollars, will be back with the latest from Goldmans in a minute

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Morning traders, the plan with the FOMC today is simple, we wait for the event, we listen to Powell carefully, and if he keeps the door open for another 25bps hike in June we jump into some Dollar longs at least until the NFP on Friday, if he doesn't, maybe we can get in some USDJPY shorts or most likely we will just wait for the next important fundamental development that will likely be the NFP on Friday Anyway, I think that Powell will keep the option for another 25bps hike so I would be leaning into USD longs today BUT Goldmans and others are all calling for the FED to signal a pause in hikes today, so I'm against the consensus in this view but that's also what makes this opportunity attractive, I mean, if Powell signals a pause the Dollar doesn't flinch much because that's expected already, if Powell signals another rate hike the Dollar strengthens quite a bit because that scenario is NOT priced

Smart Jet

Morning traders, no clean sentiment to trade from the FOMC yesterday, while instead the pressure on US banks is resurfacing again and that's likely going to dent sentiment across the board, in that context the likes of JPY and CHF longs are quite attractive again, also USD longs but only against high beta currencies are also a decent option where we are already positioned with the AUDUSD shorts So yes, we like classic safe haven currencies in this environment and looking across the board for setups to possibly position long the JPY or CHF Other than that, the ECB rate decision is another one that we watch carefully, hawkishness from the ECB will likely just put more pressure on risk assets while if they pivot we have some EURUSD shorts to take

Smart Jet

Morning traders, with a data dependant FED the data from the US becomes even more important as it will decide the next move at the next rate decision and shape the sentiment heading into it, the first important number for that is the NFP today which we monitor carefully With that TDS is expecting a number below consensus and Goldmans is expecting a number above consensus so mixed reading, but the plan for me is still in favor of USD longs so if we see a strong NFP later we might jump into some Dollar longs right before the weekly close

Smart Jet