🌅 Morning Update (03.02.2025)
📉 U.S. indices tumble amid fears of a trade war after Trump's announcement of tariffs:
🇨🇦 Canada & 🇲🇽 Mexico: 25% tariffs.
🇨🇳 China: 10% tariffs.
The US100 drops -2.5%, the US500 falls nearly 2%, and the US30 retreats -1.5%. Tech stocks face the brunt of the sell-off.
🇨🇦 Canada retaliates with C$155 billion worth of tariffs (wine 🍷, beer 🍺, food 🥘, appliances 🏠, etc.), while 🇨🇳 China announces retaliatory actions. Markets fear structurally higher inflation, complicating future rate cuts by the Fed.
💵 U.S. Dollar Index rises by nearly 1% amid risk aversion, though bond yields show mixed signals:
10-year yields dip to 4.51% 📉
2-year yields rise to 4.24% 📈
📊 Asian session sees heavy losses, marking the worst decline in six months:
CHN.cash down -0.7% 🇨🇳
JAP225 loses -2.15% 🇯🇵
China’s January PMI disappoints at 50.1 vs. 50.6 forecast, while:
🇦🇺 Australia shows resilience:
Retail sales fell just -0.1% m/m vs. -0.7% expected.
Building permits increased 0.7% vs. a 1% forecast.
🏦 BoJ minutes reveal concerns about ongoing inflation above 2% for a 4th consecutive year. The Bank of Japan signals potential rate hikes if wage pressures 📈 and yen weakness 🇯🇵 persist. The USDJPY gains +0.2% on dollar strength.
Commodities:
Gold down -0.5% 🏆
Silver down -0.8% 🪙
NATGAS surges nearly 7% 🔥
Oil climbs over 1% 🛢️
🇺🇸 Trump will meet with Canadian and Mexican representatives today. Talks aim to prevent tariffs from taking effect tomorrow, 04.02.2025.
💻 Crypto:
bitcoin drops to $94,000 📉
Ethereum plunges -12% to $2,500.
Altcoins like Cardano, Bitcoincash, Polkadot, and Ripple also suffer double-digit losses.
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