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暫無留言。 來發表第一則觀點吧。 暫無留言。 來發表第一則觀點吧。Economists at TD Securities analyze USD outlook ahead of the Fed meeting.
The Fed will most certainly deliver a 25 bps rate hike, which we think is the last. Even so, they will probably aim to maintain a hawkish bias, trying to validate the dots. It is the classic ‘have your cake and eat it too’ playbook. We think it will fail, leading to a weaker USD. It’s probably not the time to add bull steepners, but we also think the bear flattener regime is living on borrowed time.
For the USD, there has been a very clear ‘buy the rumor, sell the Fed,’ theme around the meeting dates since they first hiked last year. The USD has rallied in the run-up to the meeting, then declines on the day and subsequently declines. The data trends should outweigh the Fed rhetoric and reinforce this pattern of USD selling.
風險提示：本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點，不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證，對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為，不承擔任何責任，除非另有書面明確說明。
暫無留言。 來發表第一則觀點吧。