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EUR/CHF is currently trading south of the 0.96 mark. Economists at Danske Bank analyze the pair’s outlook.
We continue to expect the SNB to hike the policy rate by a final 25 bps at the September meeting bringing it to 2.00%. However, we stress that we rather see it as a matter of fine-tuning monetary policy and do not see the September meeting as fundamental for a long-held bullish view on CHF. Likewise, we continue to expect SNB FX intervention to keep a cap on EUR/CHF in the near term.
We forecast a sustained move lower in EUR/CHF on the back of fundamentals and continued tight financial conditions. We lower our entire profile in light of the lower spot, targeting the cross at 0.94 in 6-12M (from 0.95).
If the SNB decides to fully stop intervening, we see upside potential to EUR/CHF in the near term
風險提示:本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點,不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證,對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為,不承擔任何責任,除非另有書面明確說明。
