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Economists at Scotiabank analyze Dollar’s outlook as USD edges lower as markets position ahead of core PCE data.
The USD is looking prone to more losses in broad terms with the DXY again struggling to extend much above the 103.50 area – the point I highlighted at the start of the week that the index would need to extend through to rally.
US Personal Income is forecast to rise 0.3% in December, with Spending up 0.5% in the month. The core PCE deflator is expected to drop back to 3.0% YoY, from 3.2% in November, however.
Signs of slower inflation will add to market bets that the Fed will be thinking a bit harder about rate cuts in the coming months. Soft data may see the USD slip a little but I’m not yet inclined to rule out a further extension of the USD’s early 2024 rebound.
風險提示:本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點,不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證,對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為,不承擔任何責任,除非另有書面明確說明。
