GBP/USD trades around 1.2675 levels. Economists at OCBC Bank analyze Cable’s outlook ahead of the Bank of England (BoE) meeting on Thursday.
UK’s resilient economic data should continue to support GBP
Markets are now pricing 56% probability of 25 bps cut at May MPC (vs. <50% probability a week ago). Any hint from BoE MPC that suggests an earlier cut/dovish tilt could send GBP bulls into hibernation. That said, so long the remarks from BoE officials do not sound overly dovish, we reckon the pullback may provide an attractive point for GBP bulls to re-enter.
On the data front, the UK economy has been fairly resilient. Services PMI is still in expansionary territory. Business optimism and consumer confidence were also improving while public sector net borrowing (ex-banking groups) came in much lower than expected. Overall, these positives should continue to support GBP.
風險提示：本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點，不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證，對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為，不承擔任何責任，除非另有書面明確說明。
暫無留言。 來發表第一則觀點吧。