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What's up for the Down Under economies? Economists at Wells Fargo analyze the Australian and New Zealand Dollars (AUD and NZD) outlook.
We do not expect a further RBA rate increase, but with the central bank forecasting above-target inflation for an extended period, we believe rate cuts are some way off. We anticipate an initial 25 bps rate cut at the August meeting, while also acknowledging the balance of risks as tilted toward a later move.
In New Zealand, we now see RBNZ rate cuts occurring later than previously envisaged, and forecast an initial 25 bps reduction at the August announcement.
Against a backdrop of a US economic slowdown and Fed easing, a more gradual pace of rate cuts from the RBA and RBNZ could offer some support to the Australian and NZ Dollars against the Greenback over time.
風險提示:本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點,不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證,對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為,不承擔任何責任,除非另有書面明確說明。
