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USD/CAD has been trading relatively stable around 1.3500 for several weeks. Economists at Commerzbank analyze the pair’s outlook.
Given the cautious stance of the BoC, we remain comfortable with our forecast of lower USD/CAD levels in the coming quarters. However, we have adjusted the levels slightly higher to reflect the new forecast from our economists, who no longer expect a US recession.
However, we no longer expect the CAD to appreciate further against the US Dollar in 2025. The reason for this is that the Fed is likely to end its interest rate cuts earlier than the market currently expects and our economists anticipate very strong US growth. The Canadian economy is unlikely to be able to withstand this, even if growth there should also pick up again
風險提示：本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點，不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證，對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為，不承擔任何責任，除非另有書面明確說明。
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