USD/INR REBOUNDS AHEAD OF INDIAN, US CPI DATA

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  • The Indian Rupee edges lower on Tuesday despite the weaker USD.
  • RBI is anticipated to maintain its policy in April as the Indian economy remains strong and inflation remains above its 4% target.
  • The Indian and US February CPI inflation data will be in the spotlight on Tuesday.

The Indian Rupee (INR) trades on a weaker note on Tuesday, despite the decline of the US dollar (USD). The softer Greenback and a decline in crude oil prices might boost the Indian Rupee in the near term. INR reached an over six-month intraday high of 82.65 on Monday, but the rally was limited by a possible invention from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to prevent a significant appreciation in the INR.

India's headline retail inflation is expected to drop to 5.02% in February from 5.10% in January, extending it within the RBI's tolerance range of 2-6% for the sixth consecutive month. However, economists expect the Indian central bank to maintain current monetary policy at its April meeting since the domestic economy remains strong and inflation continues to stay above its 4% target.

Looking ahead, investors will monitor India’s and US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data for February, due on Tuesday. Later this week, India’s Wholesale Price Index (WPI) of Food, Fuel, and Inflation will be released on Wednesday, and the US Retail Sales will be published on Thursday.


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