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EUR/USD moved towards the 1.0850 mark in Monday's session. Economists at ING analyze the pair’s outlook.
Inflation numbers will be released in the next ten days in the Eurozone, with the EZ-wide March CPI estimate released on April 3. Barring major surprises, markets should continue to gain confidence about a June cut (21 bps already in the price), meaning that the EUR may lag other currencies that have short positioning and/or have higher beta to sentiment once a Dollar decline materialises. In our view, this can happen in the next month.
For this week, EUR/USD should be able to prevent much more pressure on the 1.0800 support and stabilise around or modestly above 1.0850.
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