Fed and ECB’s monetary divergence is weighing on the Euro

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These figures highlight the strong US economic outlook and endorse the view that the Fed will have to keep rates at high levels for a longer time. This is underpinning demand for the USD.

The Eurozone context is the polar opposite, with inflation trending lower and the economy stalling. This has prompted the ECB to hint towards interest rate cuts, probably in June, putting the European Central Bank in the pole position for monetary easing and weighing on demand for the Euro.

Beyond that, investors’ concerns about an escalation of the Middle East conflict, as Israel weighs the options to retaliate from Iran’s missile attack is an additional support for the safe-haven US Dollar


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