- BoC Governor Macklem:
- Canadian inflation likely to stick close to 2.9% for a few months, thanks to gas prices.
- There’s a limit to how far Canadian and US rates can diverge.
- Even when rates start to come down, likely to be a pretty gradual path.
- Need to take into account any potential weakening of the CAD when considering interest rate cuts.
- Canadian International Merchandise Trade declined -2.28 billion in March versus the forecast improvement to 1.5 billion. The previous month was revised sharply lower to 480 million from 1.39 billion.
- US Q1 Unit Labor Costs rose to 4.7% QoQ versus the forecast 3.2%, yet another thorn in the side of inflation-fearing rate-cut hopefuls.
- Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) labor report to be a key reading of US employment figures.
- Median market forecasts expecting a print of 243K compared to the previous month’s 12-month peak of 303K.
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