Gold could see volatility from PCE data

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Gold will probably experience volatility after US PCE data is released at 12:30 GMT. The consensus estimate is for PCE inflation to fall to 2.6% year-over-year (YoY) in May from 2.7% in April, and to stay unchanged at 0.0% month-over-month (MoM) after rising 0.3% in April.

Core PCE is expected to cool to 2.6% from 2.8% previously on a YoY basis and  0.1% from 0.2% on a MoM basis. 

“Our US economists think that core PCE should increase by 0.17% (MoM), based on the CPI and PPI data that we’ve already got. In turn, that would cut the year-on-year rate to 2.63% (YoY), the lowest in over three years,” says Jim Reid, Global Head of Macro at Deutsche Bank. 


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