- NZD/USD regains positive traction on Monday amid broad-based USD weakness.
- A sustained move beyond the 0.6200 mark should pave the way for further gains.
- Traders, however, might wait on the sidelines ahead of the Fed on Wednesday.
The NZD/USD pair attracts some dip-buying on the first day of a new week and reverses a major part of Friday's pullback from the 0.6200 neighborhood, or a one-week high renewed US Dollar (USD) selling bias. Spot prices climb to the 0.6180-0.6185 region during the first half of the European session and seem poised to build on last week's bounce from the very important 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Rising bets for an oversized 50-basis points interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) drag the USD Index (DXY) back closer to the YTD low and lend support to the NZD/USD pair. Apart from this, a generally positive tone around the equity markets is seen undermining the safe-haven buck, which helps offset a string of dismal Chinese macro data released over the weekend and benefits the risk-sensitive Kiwi.
From a technical perspective, oscillators on the daily chart – though have been recovering from lower levels – are yet to confirm a positive bias. This makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond the 0.6200 mark before placing bullish fresh and ahead of the FOMC decision on Wednesday. The NZD/USD pair might then climb to the 0.6255 area en route to the 0.6300 mark or a multi-month high touched in August.
風險提示:本文所述僅代表作者個人觀點,不代表 Followme 的官方立場。Followme 不對內容的準確性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保證,對於基於該內容所採取的任何行為,不承擔任何責任,除非另有書面明確說明。
