Fed and ECB in Focus, but Oil Is What’s Really Moving the Markets

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  • USD softens as equities stabilize and risk appetite slightly improves
  • Markets are pricing in possible easing of Iran conflict, but uncertainty remains high
  • Strait of Hormuz disruption continues to weigh on sentiment
  • EUR/USD stuck in consolidation ahead of Fed and ECB decisions
  • Oil remains the main driver of market direction
  • Fed expected to hold rates; focus on Dot Plot for future rate signals
  • Hawkish Fed outlook could support USD short-term
  • ECB may adopt a cautious tone due to weak sentiment and rising energy costs
  • Euro upside likely limited in the near term


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