TS Score: -0.84
Composite: -0.76
COT Score: -1.24
Conviction: Medium bearish
Technical view:
A 4H close below the marked bearish confirmation zone supports continuation lower. If price retraces first, the daily imbalance / LTF OB above can act as a sell zone.
Potential downside targets:
T1: 0.5560–0.5530
T2: 0.5490–0.5480
Extended: 0.5450 if USD strength expands
Invalidation:
A clean 4H reclaim above the LTF OB / resistance area weakens the bearish continuation idea.
Short macro support:
NZD remains risk-sensitive. If risk sentiment stays soft and USD remains supported by yield differentials, NZDUSD downside remains favoured.
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