Thesis: Following a sharp drop from 1.39430 and clear bearish CHoCH signals, the current pullback is retesting the key confluence of the 0.5–0.618 Fib retracement and a 4H Bearish FVG. RSI remains below 50, confirming downward momentum.
Direction: Short (Sell)
→ Entry Zone: 1.38550 – 1.38650 (Pullback into 0.5 Fib / Bearish FVG)
→ Stop Loss: 1.39100 (~50–55 pips, placed safely above the 0.618 Fib level)
→ Take Profit:
TP1: 1.38000 (Take 50% profit, move SL to Breakeven)
TP2: 1.37750 (Prior support / lower FVG boundary)
TP3: 1.37530 (Major swing low liquidity — R:R ~ 1:2.5)
Risk Management: Risk 1%–1.5% per trade. Move SL to BE immediately upon hitting TP1 to protect capital.
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