🌅 Morning Update (19.12.2024)
📉 Market Declines
Yesterday's session ended with sharp declines after the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.5%, as expected. However, the Fed revised its macroeconomic forecasts significantly and signalled a cautious approach to future decisions.
🗣️ Powell stated that achieving the inflation target could take more than 1-2 years. This caused notable market reactions:
EURUSD dropped by nearly 1.5%.
US100 fell by 4.5%.
💹 Bank of Japan Holds Steady
This morning, the Bank of Japan decided to keep rates unchanged at 0.25%, with 8 votes for holding and 1 for a hike. Initially, the yen hit a one-month low against the dollar before recovering slightly.
USDJPY is currently around 155.00.
Investors are now awaiting Chairman Ueda's press conference.
🇳🇿 New Zealand Economy Struggles
Q3 GDP data from New Zealand showed:
A 1% q/q decline (worse than the expected -0.4%).
A 1.5% y/y drop (also below forecasts).
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand isn’t meeting until 19 February, but expectations for a 50bp rate cut are rising.
NZDUSD has fallen by 2.5% in the past 24 hours due to weak domestic data and USD strength.
🏅 Precious Metals Bounce Back
Gold is recovering after testing support near its 100-day EMA during yesterday's corrections.
📊 Key Data to Watch Today
Today's agenda includes:
Norges Bank and Riksbank rate decisions 🏦
Polish labour market data 🇵🇱
BoE decision 🇬🇧
Q3 GDP report from the US 🇺🇸
US jobless claims and gas inventory data 🇺🇸
💎 Crypto Update
Bitcoin is fighting to stay above the $100,000 psychological barrier. Most cryptocurrencies are under pressure, reflecting the negative sentiment in traditional markets.
📢 Stay tuned for updates!
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