📅 Morning Update | ...來自NORDFX Global

07 May 2025, 15:16 · 閱讀量 101

📅 Morning Update | 07.05.2025 🚀 Asian markets are up on trade hopes! 📈 Hang Seng jumped +1.5% leading the region after news that 🇺🇸 and 🇨🇳 will meet this weekend in Switzerland. 🟢 CSI 300 and Shanghai Comp added +0.5% 🟢 Nikkei 225 rose +0.3% 🟢 S&P 500 Futures up +0.75% 🤝 U.S.-China trade talks confirmed Treasury Sec. Bessent & Trade Rep. Greer will meet China's He Lifeng. Bessent is hopeful: “Productive talks ahead.” China cautious: “Listen to words, watch the actions.” 👀 📉 NZ jobs data weak: Jobless rate stuck at 5.1% Wages slowed to +0.4% ➡️ Rate cut bets rise, with RBNZ likely going below 3.0% this year. ⚔️ India-Pakistan military clash escalates. Despite the tension, 🇮🇳 Gift Nifty Futures still up +0.5% 🏦 China rolls out stimulus: 7-day repo rate cut 🔻 to 1.40% RRR cut by 50bps ➡️ ¥1T liquidity boost More stock market support coming ⏳ Fed decision due today No rate move expected, but all eyes 👁️ on Powell’s comments for clues on July cuts. 🛢️ Oil rebounds from lows: 🟢 Brent +0.7% | WTI +0.9% Support from trade talk buzz + U.S. output cut signals 🥇 Gold drops as risk appetite returns 🔻 Spot -1.3% | Futures -0.9% 📉 Other metals also down as the 💵 dollar firms

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Economic Calendar 15 - 19 June, 2026

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📊 NordFX Expert Post - Fed vs BoE: How Central-Bank Divergence Can Shape GBP/USD and Gold The Fed has spoken. The Bank of England has answered. Now markets have to decide which central bank matters more for the next move. 🇺🇸 The Fed kept rates at 3.50%-3.75%, but the message was hawkish: fewer hopes for cuts, more talk of inflation risk, and even the possibility of a 2026 hike. 🇬🇧 The BoE held Bank Rate at 3.75%, but the vote was not completely calm: 7-2, with two MPC members voting to raise rates to 4%. Inflation has eased to 2.8%, but the BoE still expects it to rise later this year as energy-price shocks from the Middle East continue to pass through the economy. 📉 For GBP/USD, this creates a difficult balance. Sterling can find support if traders see the BoE as less dovish than expected. But if the dollar stays strong after the Fed, GBP/USD may remain under pressure, especially with the pair trading around the low 1.32s. 🥇 For gold, the key battle is between fear and yields. Political turbulence and energy-market uncertainty can support safe-haven demand. But higher U.S. yields and a stronger dollar usually make gold harder to hold. With gold near $4,296, the next move may depend on whether markets choose protection - or cash returns. ⚠️ The message for traders is simple: central-bank divergence is not just about rates. It is about expectations, yields, risk sentiment and how quickly markets reprice the future. Open your NordFX account and follow GBP/USD, gold and key market moves in real time: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... Market levels shown are approximate as of publication time.

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📊 NordFX Crypto Weekly (Jun 17-24) 🏦 Fed holds at 3.50-3.75%, hawkish dot plot (3.8% for 2026) sends BTC to $62-64K, ~$2T wiped off markets 🤝 US-Iran peace deal eases risk 🏛️ CLARITY Act still short ~7 Dem votes 🗳️ Crypto PACs spend $8M+ in US primaries 🎉 KuCoin Pay now lets you scan and pay in crypto at everyday checkouts in Argentina & Peru (Mercado Pago, Yape, Plin) 💧 USDT+USDC liquidity at $260B, lowest since March

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🔔 NordFX Morning Update – June 24, 2026 🌏 Asia mixed: Kospi rebounding hard, up as much as 4% intraday (Samsung +10% at best on buyback report, SK Hynix higher) after Tuesday's record 10% rout; Nikkei choppy between flat and -0.9%; Hang Seng -0.2%; Shanghai flat; ASX 200 +0.1-0.3%. 📉 Wall St fell overnight – Nasdaq -2.2%, S&P 500 -1.4%, Dow -0.1% – on AI-chip jitters after reports SK Hynix is shifting an AI memory line to standard DRAM. 💵 Dollar near 14-month highs (DXY ~101.3) as September Fed hike odds top 65%. EUR/USD near 1-year lows around 1.1420. 🛢 Oil at 4-month lows – Brent $76.8, WTI $73.0 – as Iran sanctions relief eases supply fears. 🥇 Gold extends its slide to ~$4,080/oz on dollar strength and rate-hike bets. 📅 Today: US new home sales, Fed bank stress test results, Micron/Paychex/Jefferies earnings. Eyes on Thursday's PCE inflation data. 📈 Trade smart with NordFX!

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🚨 NordFX Alert: The Most Expensive Trading Mistake Is Having No Plan Before the News Tomorrow could be one of the most volatile trading days of 2026 - and most retail traders will walk straight into it blind. Here's what's hitting the market in the next 24-48 hours: 📅 Tomorrow, June 16, 8:30 AM EDT - May US Retail Sales drop. April came in at +0.5% MoM and +4.9% year-on-year. Any miss or beat on May's number will move USD pairs hard - and it lands just hours before the main event. 📅 Tomorrow, June 16, 2:00 PM EDT - FOMC decision + dot plot + Warsh press conference. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh chairs his very first FOMC meeting. Rates are almost certainly staying at 3.50-3.75% (97%+ market probability), but that's not the story. The story is: Will the Fed ditch its easing bias for a neutral or tightening stance? With US inflation at 4.2% - a three-year high - and the previous FOMC split 8-4 (the most divided since 1992), Warsh's first press conference is a live grenade. 📅 Wednesday, June 18 - Bank of England decision. The BoE held at 3.75% in April with a hawkish 8-1 vote, its Chief Economist already voting for a hike to 4.00%. UK CPI has eased to 2.8% but is projected to peak at 3.6-3.7% by year-end. This meeting is genuinely live - hold, hike, or a hawkish signal that sends GBP flying. 💥 GBP/USD is sitting near 1.3450 going into all three of these events. Retail Sales, then Warsh, then BoE - three volatility spikes across three days. No position management plan = no trading plan. The traders who get hurt in these windows aren't necessarily wrong about direction. They're wrong about timing, spread, and stop placement. They react instead of prepare. ✅ Plan your entry levels before the data drops. ✅ Define your stops before the volatility expands. ✅ Know which scenario triggers your trade - and which one keeps you out. Preparation is the edge most retail traders never bother to build.

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