XAUUSD on the daily ...來自CLOVER GOLD FX

XAUUSD on the daily timeframe is currently completing a Elliott Wave corrective structure, with Wave 4 likely finalizing within a key Fibonacci confluence zone (50%-61.8% retracement of Wave 3). Price action has shown a potential bullish rejection near the 61.8% level, suggesting a possible Wave 5 rally targeting a new high above the previous peak at 3,500. From a fundamental standpoint, persistent inflation concerns, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and dovish expectations from the Fed amid slowing U.S. economic indicators continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset. If bullish momentum holds above the current reversal zone, we could see a strong impulsive continuation toward new highs, validating the bullish Elliott Wave count

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XAUUSD on the 4H is compressing inside a clean symmetrical triangle after completing a corrective structure where price respected both trendlines perfectly showing strong buildup of pressure as buyers continue to defend higher lows while sellers cap the highs and this type of consolidation often leads to an explosive breakout with momentum favoring an upside continuation if price holds above support and confirms a bullish break and retest toward the upper trendline opening the path for a measured expansion move toward the next major resistance area while risk remains defined below the triangle base.

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#eurusd EURUSD shows a mature bullish structure that has transitioned into a contracting corrective phase. The prior impulse completed cleanly and price is now respecting a rising support trendline while repeatedly rejecting a major supply zone above. This behavior signals distribution rather than continuation as momentum weakens with each push higher. The sequence of lower highs against steady higher lows forms a classic wedge pattern which often precedes a decisive breakdown. The latest rejection from resistance followed by strong bearish pressure suggests sellers are gaining control. A move toward the lower boundary of the structure remains the higher probability scenario before any meaningful trend continuation can be considered.

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DXY 4H chart has completed a clear five wave impulsive structure topping at wave 5 before breaking below thi major blue trend line drawn from wave 2 to wave 4, signaling a shift from bullish momentum into a corrective phase. After forming wave a price is now attempting a weak wave b pullback that is struggling near the previous support-turned-resistance and the dotted bearish trend line, keeping the market vulnerable for a further drop toward the anticipated wave c zone around 98.00. This technical bearish setup aligns strongly with current fundamentals as slowing U.S. inflation, softer labor market data, and weakening consumer spending are increasing expectations of upcoming Federal Reserve rate cuts reducing the dollar’s yield advantage. At the same time improving global risk sentiment and strengthening performance in other major economies are creating pressure on the dollar, decreasing its safe-haven demand supporting the probability of a deeper corrective move on the chart.

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