📈 US STOCK MARKET —...來自farah khan - Followme

07 Oct 2026, 14:26 · 閱讀量 207

📈 US STOCK MARKET — RECORD HIGHS S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh record closing highs as investors shift focus toward Q3 earnings. 🔹 S&P 500: +0.58% → 7,818.95 🔹 Nasdaq Composite: +0.45% → 27,599.79 🔹 Dow Jones: +0.49% → 51,521.04 🔥 WHY ARE MARKETS RISING? 🟢 Treasury yields eased 🟢 Crude prices stabilized 🟢 Strong AI/technology stocks supported the rally 🟢 Investors are increasingly focusing on upcoming Q3 corporate earnings Analysts currently expect roughly 30.6% year-over-year S&P 500 earnings growth for Q3, with particularly strong expectations for energy and technology. ⚠️ WHAT TO WATCH With US equities at record levels, earnings results and guidance could become the next major catalyst. At the same time, rising oil prices and Treasury yields remain potential risks for stocks. (Reuters) Market Bias: 🟢 Bullish, but watch for volatility around earnings and Fed expectations.

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🔴 SIGNAL 02 — GER 40 📉 *SELL STOP:* 25,325 🛑 *SL:* DM ME 🎯 *TP1:* 25,265 🎯 *TP2:* 25,205 *Reason:* Bearish breakdown setup. A break below *25,325* could confirm short-term selling pressure and open the way toward *25,265–25,205*.

farah khan

US Inflation & GDP — Key Market Event The market is watching **August PCE inflation data** and the **final Q2 GDP estimate**. * 📊 **Core PCE expected:** ~3.3% YoY * 📈 **Headline PCE expected:** ~3.7% YoY * 🇺🇸 **Q2 GDP estimate:** ~1.5% * 🔥 **Hotter-than-expected data:** Could support USD/yields and pressure Gold. * ❄️ **Cooler-than-expected data:** Could weigh on USD/yields and potentially support Gold. ⚠️ **For XAUUSD:** Expect increased volatility around the release. Wait for the initial spike and confirmation before entering a trade.

farah khan

Yields Just Hit a 24-Year High. Stocks Don't Care? 🤔 Here's why: 📉 Oil $90, down from $103 at last Fed meeting 🏦 Only 21% odds of Oct hike ⏰ FOMC minutes 2PM ET 🛢️ Hormuz tanker attacks keep oil risk alive Is the stock market ignoring it, or does it know something?

farah khan

📊 This Week’s Market Highlights — 5–9 October 2026 *Light economic data ≠ low volatility.* With fewer major releases, *Fed expectations and geopolitical developments* could have a bigger influence on Gold, USD, Oil and indices. 🔥 Key Events to Watch *🇺🇸 Monday — ISM Services PMI* * Focus: *Employment sub-index* * Weak employment → potentially *USD bearish / Gold bullish* * Strong employment → potentially *USD bullish / Gold bearish* *🇺🇸 Wednesday — Fed Meeting Minutes* * Traders will look for the *hawkish vs. dovish balance* * Hawkish tone → USD/Yields ↑ → potentially *Gold ↓* * Dovish tone → USD/Yields ↓ → potentially *Gold ↑* *🇺🇸 Thursday — Weekly Jobless Claims* * Higher claims → weaker labor market → potentially *Gold positive* * Lower claims → stronger labor market → potentially *Gold negative* *🇺🇸 Friday — Michigan Consumer Confidence* * Focus on *consumer confidence + inflation expectations* * Strong confidence/inflation expectations can influence USD and Fed-rate expectations. 🌍 Geopolitical Risks With a lighter data calendar, keep an eye on: 🇫🇷 *French bond market* 🇪🇺 *European energy policy* 🇺🇸 *US Strategic Petroleum Reserve* 🌍 *Middle East developments* 🥇 XAUUSD Focus *Gold could remain highly sensitive to:* *Fed expectations → US Dollar → Treasury yields → Geopolitical risk* So this week, avoid trading the economic calendar alone—*wait for price confirmation around key XAUUSD levels.*

farah khan

📉 WHY IS GOLD UNDER PRESSURE AFTER THE FED MINUTES? **1️⃣ Hawkish Fed = Higher Rate Expectations 🔴** The September FOMC Minutes showed that **most Fed officials see another rate hike as appropriate before year-end**. Markets are now pricing roughly **85% odds of a December hike**. **2️⃣ Treasury Yields Hit 2002 Highs 📈** The U.S. 10-year yield touched **5.35%**, its highest level since 2002. Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding Gold. **3️⃣ Strong Dollar Adds More Pressure 💵** USDX tested **102.50**, close to its 18-month high. A stronger dollar generally makes Gold more expensive for international buyers. **4️⃣ Gold Falls to a 2-Month Low 🟡📉** XAUUSD dropped toward **$4,066**, before recovering around the $4,100 area. ### 🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH **XAUUSD** * 🔴 Resistance: **$4,200** * 🔴 Stronger resistance: **$4,267 / $4,331** * 🟢 Support: **$4,100** * 🔻 Below $4,100 → **$3,996** * 🔻 Next major support → **$3,941** **USDX:** 102.50–102.53 is the key breakout zone. ### ⚠️ TODAY’S BIG TRIGGERS 🇺🇸 **Waller Speaks — 2:00 PM IST** 🇺🇸 **Unemployment Claims — 6:00 PM IST** **Bottom line:** **Hawkish Fed + 5.35% yields + strong USD = bearish pressure on Gold.** But with **oil/Hormuz geopolitical risk** still elevated, Gold can experience sharp two-way volatility. Wait for confirmation rather than chasing the move.

farah khan